Mike Silva Hall-of-Fame Ballot
This entry was posted on January 4th, 2014 @ 11:00 am by Mike Silva.
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My Hall-of-Fame Ballot (If I had one)
1) Edgar Martinez- It might take the BBWAA some time to appreciate the designated hitter, just like they needed some time to warm up to relievers. His production from 1995 to 2003 is right up there with all the all-time greats. Even the move to spacious Safeco Field didn’t slow him down. There is one site that evaluates him based on an award called POP (Premium Offensive Player). A POP season is one in which the player has a BA over .300, OBP over .400, SLG over .500. Martinez has eight POP seasons for his career- more than Mickey Mantle. Every player with eight or more POP seasons is in the Hall of Fame, with the exception of Barry Bonds, who is not eligible as of this writing. Martinez is also one of five players who have had more walks than strikeouts (with at least 1200 or more of each) while hitting .300. The others are Babe Ruth, Frank Thomas, Jimmie Foxx, Hank Aaron, and Chipper Jones.
2) Jeff Bagwell - is one of the few players that spent his entire career in one city and produced Hall of Fame quality numbers his entire career. He spent a large portion of his career playing in the pitcher friendly Astrodome where he produced an OPS of .996. How can you argue with a career that yielded 449 homers, 202 stolen bases, and a .948 OPS? Bill James said in 2001 that Bagwell is the fourth best first basemen of all time. High praise for someone that plays a position known for offense. Personally, I think only Lou Gehrig, Albert Pujols and Jimmie Foxx are better offensive players at the position. If I am going to support Gil Hodges on the Golden Era ballot, I can’t not support other first basemen such as McGwire and Bagwell.
3) Rafael Palmeiro - Wouldn’t be much of a debate if he didn’t have that infamous dialogue with Congress and failed drug test. Palmeiro had 3,020 hits, 569 homers, over 1,800 RBI, and a .885 OPS for his career. Although he never won an MVP, he did win three Gold Gloves (one very dubious one in 1999) during his career. Again, I don’t know the true impact of steroids on these results. I also don’t know how many pitchers were using that Palmeiro faced. The offensive numbers are no doubt Hall worthy. Is that even arguable?
4) Greg Maddux – Has two of the best single season performances of all-time. In 1994-1995 he had ERA’s of 1.56 and 1.63, respectively. Which if you use ERA+ is better than Gibson’s 1968. One 20-win season and that came his last year in Chicago. 4 Cy Young Awards, 18 gold gloves, 1 walk per nine in his 1994 and 1995 seasons. He also had 355 wins.
5) Tom Glavine – 305 wins, five 20+ win seasons, and a very famous reinvention with the Mets. Also won two Cy Young Awards, as well as a World Series MVP in 1995 that included the Classic 1-0 performance in Game 6
6) Barry Bonds - So let’s look at Bonds’ career prior to 1998. Would he still be a Hall of Fame player?
A typical Bonds year was 31 HRs, 91 RBI, 35 stolen bases, 102 walks, and .288 batting average. His OPS .959 and his OPS+ was 162. After the ’97 season he had 374 HRs, 1,094 RBI, 417 stolen bases, and 1,244 runs scored in a career that spanned 12 years. All of those numbers were good enough to be among the best of any Hall of Famer at any position. At that point, the guy averaged a 30/30 season for his career. He also won three MVP awards and 7 Gold Gloves.
Post ’98 we know things got crazy. That version of Bonds had a typical year that included 39 HRs, 90 RBI, 10 stolen bases, 133 walks, and .314 batting average. His OPS was 1.193 and his OPS+ was 209. The totals for that 10 year portion of his career were 388 HRs, 902 RBI, 97 stolen bases, and 983 runs scored. He won 4 MVP awards and only 1 Gold Glove. Defense and speed were the key element of his game that disappeared.
Remember, the book (Game of Shadows) claims he took steroids for about 5 years (98-2003), that is when he became a video game. A typical year included 47 HRs, 108 RBI, 14 stolen bases, 140 walks, and .318 batting average. His OPS was 1.205 and his OPS+ was 214, which is higher than Babe Ruth. During those five years he produced 284 HRs, 648 RBI, 83 stolen bases, and 697 runs scored. He was walked an insane amount (843 times) as well.
7) Roger Clemens - You have to put him in the same category as Bonds. How can you leave someone off with his record, despite the PED use? 354 wins, 7 CYA, 1-MVP/pre-roid (1996) 192-111, 3.06, 3 Cy Young Awards. After roids he was 162-73, 3.21 ERA and 4 Cy Young Awards. Third all-time in strikeouts, sixth in wins, and two 20-strikeout games.
8) Frank Thomas – Had 8 POP seasons (.300 batting average, .400 OBP, .500 slugging). 969 games at 1st and 1,300 at DH. 521 home runs, .419 OBP, career batting average of .301 and two MVP awards. You have to put both Thomas and Martinez in the Hall-of Fame.
9) Mike Piazza - Most home runs as a catcher (427 overall) , his 1997 where he was 40/124/.362 might be the best individual season for a catcher all-time. When you factor in the travel and wear and tear of the position, a career .308 batting average is amazing. We are crucifying him for bacne, but how many of us would have lousy skin carrying around the tools of ignorance for nine innings on average of six days a week?
10) Mike Mussina - - He only has 270 wins, but he is 100 games over 500. That should count for something. Some other Mussina facts:
- Only one losing season in 18 years.
- Statistically compares to HOF pitchers like Jim Palmer, Clark Griffith, Carl Hubbell, Juan Marichal.
- Also compares through age 39 to Future Hall of Fame pitchers Greg Maddux and Tom Glavine.
I would vote for if there were more room on the ballot
Jack Morris – He doesn’t have the peripheral numbers of other Hall of Famer’s, such as Bert Blyleven, but that shouldn’t take away the fact that he won 254 ballgames. He also was a big time postseason pitcher for Detroit and Minnesota, of course winning that classic Game 7 in the ’91 World Series against Atlanta. With the advent of bullpens 250 should be the new 300 and Morris clearly knew how to pitch well enough to win. Let’s not make wins the end all, but let’s not diminish the fact that is ultimately what pitching is all about.
Tim Raines- He is one of the individuals that I examine every year. Part of me believes he doesn’t have enough Hall worthy seasons (I count 9 out of 23). The presence of Rickey Henderson in the eighties sometimes overshadows Raines who was his National League counterpart. He had speed and hit for power and average. His 13 years in Montreal were impressive, and he tacked on in Chicago and New York. If he didn’t chase a ring as a part time player with the Yankees I suspect he might have collected 3,000 hits. For his career he had over 2,600 hits, 808 stolen bases, and a career OPS of .810. Time to recognize “Henderson lite” and put him in the Hall. If you added 400 more hits and subtracted 400 walks this wouldn’t be a debate because he would have the magic number of 3,000. I would have kept him on my ballot if there were more room because I do believe he is a Hall-of-Famer.
Mark McGwire – For the first-timers to the site I will repeat my position on steroids. Unlike many members of the BBWAA, I don’t get offended by the use of PEDs during the 90s. Perhaps it was because this is the generation in which I “cut my teeth” in learning the game, but more likely because there never has been definitive scientific proof as to the cause and effect. Both pitchers and hitters were using drugs that were not against the rules of the game. We all know that McGwire is currently 10th all-time in home runs with 584, but his numbers are comparable to other Hall of Fame first basemen such as Harmon Killebrew, Ernie Banks, and Willie McCovey. We have racists, tax cheats, drunks, and spit ballers in the Hall, so there is no reason why we can’t honor someone that used enhancements, some that were not outlawed at the time. What really puts me over the top with Big Mac is that his at-bats from 1995-2000 were an “event” like no other in the history of the game. Not even Barry Bonds (who I will support when he is eligible), garnered that much interest across all 30 big league ballparks. He will never get in, so why waste a vote, but should be considered by the Vets Committee. Now that he is coaching I wonder if the powers-that-be will eventually move past McGwire and PEDs.
Jeff Kent – His years with San Franciso yielded 29/115/.297 BA/ .903 OPS There was an MVP award in that time- all at 2B. My issue is that he was very good, not great in New York, Houston, Los Angeles. I still think he is a Hall-of-Famer, but is left out on this crowded ballot. I believe he will have to get in via the Veterans Committee.
Hall-of-Very-Good
Craig Biggio – Hall-of-Fame run for six year period from about 1993 to 1999 where you could count on him for 20 home runs, high OBP, gold glove defense up the middle. His defense is even more remarkable as he started as a catcher and even played the outfield. My issue is he compiled 3,000 hits and he wouldn’t even be considered without it. Now that the BBWAA has “thrown away” the automatic qualifiers (see Palmeiro) because of PEDs, I am ok with throwing them away all together. I am more about quality than quantity.
Curt Schilling – He seems to be garnering favor thanks to a couple of big postseasons (2001, 2004) and a bloody sock. I don’t see a long enough string of quality to call Schilling a Hall-of-Famer. I see two years in Philadelphia (97-98), two in Arizona (2001-2002) and one in Boston (2004). The difference between Schilling and Jack Morris is consistency. I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets Vets Committee consideration the first year he is eligible. I won’t be upset if he makes it, either (see Catfish Hunter).
Sammy Sosa – Never failed a test, but a very strange career arc. Before the historic 1998 an average Sosa season (’96 to ’97) was very good (37 HR/113 RBI/.263 BA/.831 OPS), after (’98 to 2004) he became a video game (52 HR/127 RBI/.308 BA/1.006 OPS). Despite McGwire’s home run record, Sosa won the MVP in 1998 as the Cubs made the playoffs. Having watched his career it’s hard for me to take him seriously with these huge jumps in production.
Larry Walker - His best seasons came in Colorado (.334 average, 1.006 OPS), which was a joke pre-humidor. Walker was a very good player in Montreal, but his career road numbers (.278 BA and .865 OPS) make me think he belongs in the Hall-of-Very-Good.
Alan Trammel - Nice run in the mid-to-late 80s, but fell off after the age of 32. He is in the top-10 in Wins Above Replacement for his position, tied with Barry Larkin, but I wouldn’t have voted for Larkin, either. I don’t see a long enough run, historic event or total numbers. The position he played is the only argument. He may get in on the Vets Committee at some point, which wouldn’t bother me. I don’t see him as a Hall-of-Famer.
Don Mattingly - Great five-year run. Career was ruined by a back injury, and if he didn’t wear pinstripes he would have been off the ballot after year one.
Lee Smith - We all know that saves are overrated. It’s the process of how you gain it, not the results. There was an argument based on his work with the Cubs, but he was just another very good reliever once he left the Windy City.



