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Joba Chamberlain: Most Overrated Prospect in History?



By Mike Silva ~ June 1st, 2011. Filed under: Mike Silva, New York Yankees.

The age of media saturation brings all sort of bombastic narratives. Usually, top prospects for every team are hailed as the “next big thing.” We are guilty of this more so in New York than anywhere else. The last twenty years has seen Brien Taylor, Generation K, Alex Escobar and Joba Chamberlain, to name a few, billed as the next great phenom.

Sports Illustrated released their annual “Overrated Player Poll,” which is voted on by the players. Alex Rodriguez, Derek Jeter, and Joba Chamberlain topped this list. Chamberlain has been a frequent name we have seen in any “overrated list,” especially those where the players are the sample size. To Joba’s credit, he doesn’t care, preferring to focus on his retirement. This list got me thinking if there ever has been a more disappointing prospect in this town than Joba Chamberlain?

To be fair, not all of this is his fault. The Yankees completely botched his development; shuffled him between the rotation and bullpen; and created a ridiculous set of rules that set him up to fail. They took the “pitcher abuse concept” and bastardized this in a way that made Joba looked foolish in September of 2009. Those little league starts did him no justice. Unfortunately, no one could tell that Chamberlain lacked the mental makeup to be a starter. Additionally, how were they to know he would fall into the “too comfortable to want to succeed” category.

Chamberlain’s ascent into the Yankees bullpen coincided with the explosion of new media. How many kids get t-shirts named after them with just 24 big league innings? The blogs, message boards, and Twitter “lite up” with fans debating his role. You heard about the “greatness of Joba” in dozens of debates. This is not his fault, but this discussion about a player being overrated, not whether he was responsible for the hype.

The sad part about this is Chamberlain has developed into a decent middle reliever. Nothing special, but decent. I liken him to Kyle Farnsworth. He will put up good numbers, dazzle you with his stuff, but don’t fall in love with him too much. If you do, there is a heartbreak meltdown on the mound just waiting to happen. Joba is the player that will always tease you with his potential, but give you fifty cents on the dollar with results.

Anytime you dismiss mental makeup look at how lesser prospects like David Robertson and Ian Kennedy have put together more successful careers to date than Chamberlain. Kennedy was beaten up more than any of the Yankees prospects when he was here. He’s had to overcome his own issues, including an aneurysm that could have ended his career. There were no special rules for Ian Kennedy, and he’s proven he didn’t need it. As for Robertson, if I were a betting man, it will be him, not Chamberlain that succeeds Mariano Rivera one day to be the Yankees closer. I like his stuff, but more importantly, he pitches with a certain confidence on the mound.

By all accounts Chamberlain is a great kid to cover. It’s how he approaches his career that is infuriating. When you factor in all the hype it’s hard to find another prospect that has been predicted more, and produced less, than Joba Chamberlain.

Mike Silva is a freelance writer and radio host since March of 2007. This website is his own personal "digest" of New York Baseball He's also hosts NYBD Radio on Blog Talk Radio and 1240 AM WGBB. Check out his sports media commentary at www.sportsmediawatchdog.com. Check out his official website, www.mikesilvamedia.com
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5 Responses to Joba Chamberlain: Most Overrated Prospect in History?

  1. Patrick

    Whomever follows Rivera will be in a sorry sorry situation.

    I think one thing is evident about talent development, scouts and pundits are far more often wrong than they are right.

    Development folks still to this day, even the ones who do serious saber analysis are prone to falling for the sizzle vs. the savvy.

    Ian Kennedy is a perfect example. The Mets have two such cases on their staff currently in Niese and Gee.

    I’ll take all three of those guys any day of the week over Pelfrey, Joba and Hughes.

  2. seank

    there are far more overrated prospects then joba. he’s pitching in the majors today, that’s better then a lot of prospects. i’d say Aroldis Chapman or Dice K have been more overrated. Look at the money given to both of them compared to joba. joba’s downfall was injuring his shoulder in texas. Just get him some bartolo stem cells

  3. piratechef

    Joba hasn’t been hyped one bit over the last season or two…. how he can be “overrated” is beyond me. furthermore, anyone who thought he could maintain his 2007 injury or not has got to be out of their minds and should be careful of such lofty expectations.

    let’s not forget that the “hype” is coming from the media whores who would ride a ten dollar pony into the ground if they could get a story out of it. sports “journalists” are the Jerry Springer of the media world and everything they say should be taken with several grains of salt. parroting their “wisdom” only shows a lack of thinking.

  4. theidiotfinder

    The idea that this article is in any way objective is laughable at best. Good thing for those of us with functioning brain stems we can actually look up the facts that show what a ridiculous assessment this is. From the “mental makeup” strawman to his failure as a starter this article is a disaster to all of those who rely on logic and facts.

    As usual Silva…. let the FAIL be with you.

  5. Ralph Eherts

    Mike,

    Your analysis of Joba is a testament to ‘non-sequitur’. In fact, Websters has added this article to the definition of non-sequitur with your mug shot. Please, be objective or get off the blog sphere.

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